What do reality TV show winners, economic collapses, and political upsets have in common? They’re all things Superforecasters could’ve seen coming! Maybe.

In this brain-boosting episode of Biz-Souls, Rona Lewis hands the crystal ball to Jeffrey Hansler as he dives into the insights of ‘Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction’ by Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner.

After a recommendation from one of his training participants (who may or may not now have Oracle status), Jeffrey took a deep dive into Tetlock and Gardner’s book — and resurfaced with gems of wisdom anyone can use to sharpen their predictive powers.

Learn why foxes beat hedgehogs (yes, it’s a real metaphor), how probabilistic thinking wins over gut feelings, and what makes superforecasters so… super. From world events to office politics, you'll never look at uncertainty the same way again.

Tetlock and Gardner unpack the fascinating findings of the Good Judgment Project - a research initiative that revealed how certain individuals, dubbed "superforecasters," consistently outperform even intelligence analysts with access to classified information.

Discover how these superforecasters harness open-mindedness, analytical thinking, and a knack for breaking down complex problems to make remarkably accurate predictions. Learn how you can cultivate these skills to enhance decision-making in business and beyond.

And if you're a Biz-Souls binge-listener, this one's a perfect companion to:

Ep. 169: “Positive, Normative, and Positively Normative” — where Jeffrey and Rona explore the psychology behind decision-making and economic forecasting.

Ep. 166: “Truth, Lies, and DOGE” — exploring Nietzsche, narrative, and why humans struggle with truth (hint: it affects forecasting too).

Ep. 165: “Franchise Fiasco” — a forecasting fail in real time when Jeffrey just wanted a footlong sub.

Ep. 167: “Ikigai and AI” — with Michael Woudenberg, tackling polymathic minds and purpose, which, funnily enough, is key to long-term judgment too.

Whether you're a business leader, strategist, or just someone intrigued by the art of prediction, this episode offers a treasure trove of insights. Tune in and elevate your forecasting game!

Because the future may be uncertain—but your next podcast choice isn’t!

#BizSouls #Superforecasting #GoodJudgmentProject #PhilipTetlock #DecisionMaking #PredictTheFuture

What if changing your mindset could change everything?

In this electrifying episode of Biz-Souls, hosts Rona Lewis and Jeffrey Hansler welcome the incredible Toluwa Oyeleye — a globally recognized coach, TEDx speaker, and founder of Zoah Consultancy.

With credentials from Cambridge University and MindGym, and a history of impact spanning the United Nations, corporate boardrooms, and university campuses, Toluwa is a master of mindset transformation.

This is a journey into the raw, real, and revolutionary world of mindset mastery. Because here’s the thing: Mindsets aren’t set in stone. They’re malleable, dynamic, and — with the right approach — they can become your most powerful tool.

Toluwa can help you and your organization break free from limiting beliefs and rewire perspectives for success. Toluwa’s unique approach transforms leaders, students, and organizations worldwide.

Toluwa isn’t just about motivation — she’s about mastering your mind. Whether you're a leader facing burnout, a team struggling with cohesion, or someone feeling stuck in a rut, this episode is your playbook for a breakthrough. Toluwa’s no-fluff, heart-led approach will leave you rethinking what’s possible — and give you the tools to lead from the inside out.

Explore More Episodes:

Episode 160: HR is Not Your Friend – The candid truth about HR’s evolving role in today’s workplace.

Episode 147: Discover the Future of Work – Insights into the new normal and how to thrive in it.

Episode 169: Positive, Normative, and Positively Normative: A Leadership Guide to Discussion

Hit play on this episode and follow us on your favorite podcast platform and prepare to transform your mindset — and your life.

What’s the difference between what is and what ought to be? Rona Lewis and Jeffrey Hansler dive headfirst into the wonderfully wonky world of positive vs. normative thinking—and come up gasping for air, laughter, and just a bit of existential dread.

Of course, Jeffrey brings up the U.S. national debt, which has ballooned to $36 trillion—a number so large, even AI responds with “lol, good luck.” Rona banters back, sometimes without even saying a word. It’s all in the look—and as we learned from Zoolander, there may only be one look… but it still speaks volumes.

The duo also riff on Philip Tetlock’s sobering reminder that humans are pretty awful at predicting the future—which explains both the popularity of astrology apps and your coworker’s crypto investments.

Expect a lively, rapid-fire conversation in true Weekend Update style, as our hosts balance economic theory, leadership insight, and absurdist humor like it's a panel discussion moderated by a caffeinated philosopher.

Whether you're leading a team, forecasting a budget, or just trying to figure out if you should buy Dogecoin again (spoiler: no), this episode offers something for your brain and your funny bone.

Tune in for a conversation that’s thoughtful, thought-provoking, and positively… normative.