検索キーワード： 予測・戦略的計画

The international best seller - don't compete without it! A major best seller in Japan, Financial Times top-ten book of the year, Book-of-the-Month Club best seller, and required reading at the best business schools, Thinking Strategically is a crash course in outmaneauvering any rival. This entertaining guide builds on scores of case studies taken from business, sports, the movies, politics, and gambling. It outlines the basics of good strategy-making and then shows how you can apply them in any area of your life.

Nate Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair’s breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger - all by the time he was 30. He solidified his standing as the nation's foremost political forecaster with his near perfect prediction of the 2012 election. Silver is the founder and editor in chief of the website FiveThirtyEight. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction, investigating how we can distinguish a true signal from a universe of noisy data.

Radical uncertainty changes the way we should think about decision-making. For over half a century economics has assumed that people behave rationally by optimizing among well-defined choices. Behavioral economics questioned how far people are rational, pointing to the cognitive biases that seem to describe actual behavior.

In Quit, Duke teaches you how to get good at quitting. Drawing on stories from elite athletes like Mount Everest climbers, founders of leading companies like Stewart Butterfield, the CEO of Slack, and top entertainers like Dave Chappelle, Duke explains why quitting is integral to success, as well as strategies for determining when to hold 'em, and when to fold 'em, that will save you time, energy, and money.

Transform your business for tomorrow's challenges today. This groundbreaking guide, crafted at the intersection of deep expertise and cutting-edge AI, turns sustainability challenges into your next competitive advantage.

Every big project – whether it’s technology, sneakers or a neighbourhood café – requires a big investment to get going. Unfortunately, most of them flop. Too many teams waste time, money and opportunity because they follow the wrong strategy and lose sight of what really matters. As designers and investors, Jake Knapp and John Zeratsky have helped hundreds of teams bring new products and services into the world. Click is their proven system for starting projects the right way, to make better decisions and move swiftly towards a solution that clicks with customers.

Are you ready to take your company to the next level? In this book, you will discover how each of the five disciplines—strategy, business development, people, execution, and mission—give you the processes needed to best satisfy your five constituents: your company, yours customers, your team, your stakeholders, and your community.

Global technological trends come and go. In this book, Mehran Gul maps the recent waves of technological advancement up until the current moment, as the model shifts from a system where many products are designed in the United States and assembled in China, to one where billion-dollar companies are springing up in places like China, Korea, Singapore, India and continental Europe, and innovation becomes a far more global game.

Hundreds of millions of people use Apple products every day; several thousand work on Apple's campus in Cupertino, California; but only a handful sit at the drawing board. Creative Selection recounts the life of one of the few who worked behind the scenes, a highly-respected software engineer who worked in the final years of the Steve Jobs era, the Golden Age of Apple.

The nonprofit sector of our society is growing rapidly, creating a major need for guidelines and expert advice on how to manage these organizations effectively. Management guru Peter F. Drucker provides excellent examples and explanations of mission, leadership, resources, marketing, goals, people development, decision-making, and much more. Included are interviews with nine experts that address key issues in the booming nonprofit sector.

Frustrated by the high costs and difficulty of accepting credit card payments, McKelvey joined his friend Jack Dorsey (the cofounder of Twitter) to launch Square, a startup that would enable small merchants to accept credit card payments on their mobile phones. The Innovation Stack is a thrilling business narrative that's much bigger than the story of Square. It is an irreverent first-person look inside the world of entrepreneurship, and a call to action for all of us to find the entrepreneur within ourselves and identify and fix unsolved problems - one crazy idea at a time.

Clayton M. Christensen, the author of such business classics as The Innovator’s Dilemma and the New York Times best-seller How Will You Measure Your Life, and coauthors Efosa Ojomo and Karen Dillon reveal why so many investments in economic development fail to generate sustainable prosperity and offers a groundbreaking solution for true and lasting change.

At the core of this ancient strategy manual is the understanding that conflict is an inescapable part of human life. Since, as Sun Tzu teaches, aggression and response in kind can lead only to destruction, we must learn to work with conflict in a more profound and effective way. Crucial to this strategic vision is knowledge - especially self-knowledge - and a view of the whole that seeks to bring conflicting views into a larger perspective.

The Risk-Driven Business Model will help you manage risk better by showing how the key choices you make in designing your business models either increase or reduce two characteristic types of risk - information risk, when you make decisions without enough information, and incentive-alignment risk, when decision makers' incentives are at odds with the broader goals of the company. Leaders who understand how the structure of their business model affects risk have the power to create wealth, revolutionize industries, and shape a better world.

What is your digital business model? While many leaders of companies recognize the threat from digital - and the potential opportunity - they lack a common language or a compelling framework to help them assess it and, more importantly, to direct them. They don't know how to think about their digital business model. In this probing and practical book, Peter Weill and Stephanie Woerner provide much-needed tools, self-assessments, motivating examples, and key financial analyses of where the profits will likely be made.

What can you learn from the world’s most successful companies? The Marvel Studios Story will help you understand and adopt the competitive strategies, workplace culture, and daily business practices that enabled a struggling comic book publisher to parlay the power of myth and storytelling to become one of history’s most successful movie studios.

Mission, vision, values, and aspirational statements are meant to be more than decorations and slogans that make organizations look good in the eyes of employees, customers, investors, and stakeholders. When articulated properly, vision and mission statements can be powerful tools and can be positioned as strategic road maps to steer and unite organizations, employees, and stakeholders toward common objectives and goals. In addition, vision and mission statements can help corporations and organizations define their purpose and establish a unique corporate identity.

Würden Sie gerne mehr erreichen, fühlen sich aber zu erschöpft? Rennen Sie immer schneller, aber das Ziel ist immer weiter entfernt? Viele Dinge scheinen weitaus anstrengender, als sie sein sollten. Woran das liegt und was man dagegen tun kann, beschreibt New-York-Times-Bestsellerautor Greg McKeown. Es mangelt meist weder an Motivation noch an Willen, ganz im Gegenteil: Wir arbeiten zu viel, überanstrengen uns und dann sind die Akkus leer. McKeown zeigt, wie man Ablenkungen reduziert, Prozesse vereinfacht, Probleme vermeidet und auch Unvollkommenheit akzeptiert.

To keep your brand innovative, you need to feed your creative spirit, and the office is not the place to do that. So get out, disrupt and reimagine the status quo, get into a café, and dream.

The combined impact of social technologies, the mobile internet, and cloud computing are creating incredible new business opportunities. They are also destroying unprepared companies, transforming industries, and leaving behind workers who are unwilling or unable to adapt.