In this episode of Yet Another Value Podcast, host Andrew Walker speaks with Ben Kelleran of Kontrarian Korner to discuss Sable Offshore, a company attempting to revive the Santa Ynez oil unit off the California coast. They explore the high-stakes nature of this investment, dissect the complex legal battles with California regulators, and assess the upside potential of the project if full production is achieved. The conversation covers Sable's SPAC history, economics, leadership, refinancing plans, and what needs to happen for the company to fully restart operations and generate significant returns.

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[00:00:00] Introduction and sponsor message

[00:01:59] Guest Ben Kalleran joins

[00:03:02] Overview of Sable Offshore

[00:04:15] SPAC history and asset deal

[00:06:23] Legal/regulatory hurdles explained

[00:09:12] Why Exxon sold the asset

[00:12:32] Sable’s CEO and management

[00:15:13] Current production status

[00:17:13] Economics and ramp potential

[00:20:46] Valuation compared to peers

[00:24:02] Equity raise explained

[00:27:49] Debt refinancing plans[00:29:56] Legal timeline expectations

[00:34:14] Fire Marshal’s role discussed

[00:41:12] Takings claim details[00:43:40] All-clear signal for investors

[00:47:56] Why O&G funds are hesitant

[00:49:57] Key dates and next steps

Links:

Yet Another Value Blog: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com

See our legal disclaimer here: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer

In this edition of the Yet Another Value Podcast Book Club, host Andrew Walker reunites with Byrne Hobart of The Diff to revisit The Snowball, Alice Schroeder’s biography of Warren Buffett. Triggered by Buffett’s recent retirement, the two reflect on how their views have evolved since first reading the book in their 20s. They unpack Buffett’s complex personal life, his early financial maneuvers, near-catastrophic risks, and lasting investment philosophies. Key discussions include Buffett’s detached family dynamics, calculated leverage, deep value tactics, and overlooked geopolitical caution. With a balance of admiration and critique, Andrew and Byrne present a thoughtful, analytical take on the man often mythologized as America's greatest investor.

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[00:00:00] Podcast intro and book overview

[00:02:05] First impressions of Snowball reread

[00:04:28] Buffett’s emotional and family struggles

[00:05:57] His early business brilliance questioned

[00:08:41] Risks nearly tanked early ventures

[00:10:17] Byrne reflects on insurance troubles

[00:13:44] Buffett’s dual investing motivations

[00:15:27] Shady dynamics of Buffett’s PA

[00:17:45] Hustling to raise initial capital

[00:21:12] Best wins: control and distress

[00:23:36] Early Buffett vs modern strategies

[00:26:54] Why he avoided foreign stocks

[00:28:17] Could modern Buffett act similarly?

[00:30:52] Gray areas in early arbitrage

[00:33:57] Incentives, risk, and bad bets

[00:35:22] Buffett’s paradoxical driving style

[00:36:51] Solomon drama and reputational play

[00:40:33] Was Solomon really near failure?

[00:43:36] Role of Buffett’s presence in bailout

[00:45:10] LTCM: Buffett’s ultimate near-miss

[00:49:40] Snowball ends during 2008 crisis

[00:50:52] Experience shapes Buffett’s crisis style

[00:53:31] Is he great at market timing?

[00:56:14] Tough negotiator in private deals

[01:01:34] Reconciling bearish macro with buys

Links

Yet Another Value Blog: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com

See our legal disclaimer here: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer

In this episode of Yet Another Value Podcast, host Andrew Walker speaks with Darren McLean of Muddy Waters about investing in the mining sector. Darren shares how informational edges and a deep understanding of data can yield outsized returns in a space often overlooked by generalists. They discuss the inefficiencies in mining markets, the value of unconventional data analysis, and why mining offers compelling alpha for those willing to do the work. Darren also explores the evolution of mining capital, the brain drain in the industry, and the outsized rewards of discovering and developing world-class assets. Tune in to uncover the realities of resource investing and how expertise can change the game.

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[00:00:00] Andrew introduces podcast and Darren McLean

[00:03:15] Why Darren sees alpha in mining

[00:04:50] Examples of unconventional data collection

[00:07:46] Darren discovers major inefficiency firsthand

[00:10:23] Lack of diligence in asset qualification

[00:15:51] The post-China supercycle mining collapse

[00:20:57] Why mining offers inevitable investment returns

[00:24:03] The Bre-X scandal and manipulation

[00:27:42] Why supermajors avoid early-stage projects

[00:31:26] When site visits are essential

[00:38:47] Brain drain and generational void in mining

[00:39:18] Can generalists invest in mining successfully?

[00:43:17] Montage Gold: A re-rate case study

[00:46:17] Value of strong reputations and strategic entry

[00:51:13] Darren’s track record and strategy success

[00:53:36] Why mining gives clear investment feedback

Links:

Yet Another Value Blog: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com

See our legal disclaimer here: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer

In this episode of Yet Another Value Podcast, host Andrew Walker speaks with Nic Bustamante, founder of FinTool, an AI-powered platform designed for equity analysts and investors. They probe how AI is transforming investment workflows, from memo creation to screening and qualitative analysis. Nic shares examples of institutional adoption, discusses nuanced challenges like bias in management conversations, and forecasts how AI could evolve investor roles. Whether you're deeply entrenched in AI or just starting out, this episode provides grounded insights into its growing role in finance.

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[00:00:00] Andrew introduces podcast and guest

[00:01:50] Nic explains AI task delegation

[00:04:10] Home Depot memo AI example

[00:06:59] Uploading memos to train AI

[00:08:13] Pattern matching with past investments

[00:10:39] Small sample size challenges

[00:13:10] Buffett’s approach vs. LLM potential

[00:16:08] Investing skill shifts with AI

[00:18:00] Qualitative work amplified by AI

[00:21:19] Gumshoe research vs. AI insights

[00:23:21] Amplifying analyst strengths with AI

[00:25:59] AI freeing up research time

[00:27:37] Future of autonomous investment agents

[00:30:10] Training AI with personal track record

[00:31:59] Data diversity needed for edge

[00:33:38] Qualitative investing with AI portfolios

[00:36:02] AI advantages in news trading

[00:37:36] Losing insight through automation

[00:39:21] Hybrid strategy using AI summaries

[00:41:40] Identifying non-standard compensation

[00:42:53] Spotting off-cycle stock grants

[00:45:36] Edge cases needing human oversight

[00:47:48] Tesla and extreme market narratives

[00:49:22] Fragility of company valuations

[00:51:16] Reliability of company filings

[00:53:31] Expanding Fintool’s data sources

[00:54:11] When and why to upload documents

[00:56:25] Private data and unique uploads

[00:58:14] Bias risk from selective inputs

[00:59:38] Recording calls for richer context

[01:00:23] Generating insightful questions with AI

[01:01:35] Framing management conversations for AI

[01:02:49] Extracting insight through competitor focus

[01:03:46] Using peers to understand companies

[01:04:43] Keeping pace with fast AI evolution

[01:07:02] AI as necessary but not sufficient

Links:

Yet Another ValueBlog: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com

See our legaldisclaimer here: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer

FinTool:https://fintool.com/

In this episode of Yet Another Value Podcast, host Andrew Walker is joined by Doug Garber, founder of the Pitch the PM podcast, to dissect Mammoth Energy (TUSK). They explore TUSK's mammoth (pun intended) cash holdings relative to its market cap, past challenges including fracking and Puerto Rico operations, and the implications of recent asset sales. Doug shares insights into TUSK's business segments, corporate governance under Wexford, and potential capital allocation strategies. They also discuss the strategic outlook with the upcoming CEO transition.______________________________________________________________________[00:00:00] Podcast introduction and episode setup[00:02:06] Doug Garber joins the discussion[00:02:51] Overview of Mammoth Energy's business[00:05:14] Settlement cash inflow explained[00:06:59] Market mispricing and cash outlook[00:10:00] Investor skepticism around Puerto Rico[00:14:07] Corporate governance and Wexford's role[00:18:02] Discussion on capital allocation strategy[00:24:32] Business transition from energy to industrial[00:30:24] Aircraft purchase controversy analyzed[00:34:16] Interim CEO and leadership transition[00:36:51] Expectations for new CEO direction[00:42:06] Valuation from appraised asset values[00:45:35] Wexford's investment performance evaluated[00:46:00] Downside protection and risk assessment[00:50:21] Final thoughts and wrap-upLinks:Yet Another Value Blog - https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com See our legal disclaimer here: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer

In this episode of Yet Another Value Podcast, host Andrew Walker shares a keynote Q&A from the Showcase Vegas event with returning guest Artem Fokin of Caro-Kann Capital. Artem breaks down his concept of “superpowers” in investing—an individual’s unique edge based on comparative advantage—and how it shapes portfolio decisions. The discussion extends into sell discipline, including identifying when a thesis is broken and handling emotional pitfalls during drawdowns. Artem also touches on evaluating management teams, international microcap investing, and the psychological toll of investing for a living. The conversation is a practical dive into staying grounded and focused amid the volatility of markets.

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[0:00:00] Intro & sponsor message.

[0:02:45] Andrew introduces Artem.

[0:03:45] Defining investment 'superpower'.

[0:05:08] Artem's investing superpower explained.

[0:06:30] Identifying others' superpowers.

[0:08:15] Matching skills to stock selection.

[0:09:30] Using expert calls effectively.

[0:10:55] Selling stocks on thesis change.

[0:13:46] Holding through macro noise.

[0:15:12] Assessing management capability.

[0:17:30] Micro vs. large cap dynamics.

[0:19:30] International vs. US investing.

[0:23:10] Mental resilience in investing.

[0:26:00] Avoiding emotional decision-making.

[0:30:00] Balancing fund and personal finance.

[0:33:00] Final thoughts and close.

Links:

Yet Another Value Blog - https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com

See our legal disclaimer here: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer

In this episode of Yet Another Value Podcast, host Andrew Walker interviews the first-year Columbia MBA team who unanimously won the 18th Annual Pershing Square Challenge with their investment thesis on Carlisle Companies (CSL). The team—Tuan, Dimitry, and Erik—shares their detailed research into the commercial roofing giant, exploring its competitive moats, sticky customer relationships, management alignment, valuation framework, and opportunities for expansion. They discuss their firsthand trade show research, unique insight into labor dynamics, and responses to key concerns like cyclicality and pricing power. The conversation also covers the company's history, recent transformation, and what could keep an investor up at night.

You can find the team's CSL pitch deck here: https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/mn4ib4897o8gfpgdzs03c/CSL-US-Carlisle-Pershing-Square-Challenge-Presentation_YAVB_Abridged.pdf?rlkey=ck47pu6samrrnctwlfyr536hc&e=1&st=nj9zt415&dl=0_

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[00:00:00] Intro to podcast and guests

[00:02:44] Guest introductions and backgrounds

[00:05:35] Overview of Carlisle Companies

[00:08:32] Pitch background and idea process

[00:13:03] Unique research: trade show visits

[00:19:28] Carlisle’s competitive advantages

[00:24:58] Sticky customer and contractor base

[00:30:00] Valuation and IRR framework

[00:35:14] Management's strategy and alignment

[00:42:07] Target 2030 growth breakdown

[00:46:20] QXO, Beacon, and distribution impact

[00:52:22] Risks and margin sustainability

[00:54:28] Potential new entrants: Berkshire risk

[00:56:33] Labor shortages and benefits

[01:00:17] Leverage and capital allocation debate

[01:02:56] Final reflections and thank yous

Links:

Yet Another Value Blog - https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com See our legal disclaimer here: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer

In this May 2025 edition of Yet Another Value Podcast, host Andrew Walker shares a range of thoughts in his monthly solo ramble. He opens with macro commentary on market resilience post-"Liberation Day" and ongoing CEO uncertainty. He transitions to the role of AI in investing, using analogies from sports to explore how AI may alter investor success profiles. Andrew dives into how management teams' sales skills can mislead investors and shares his growing skepticism from biotech engagements. The episode closes with reflections on how personal preferences influence investing decisions and a detailed breakdown of how sunk costs and overhead can erode biotech value.

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[0:00:00] Podcast intro and episode preview.

[0:02:02] Corporate governance discussion overview.

[0:03:22] Host introduction and podcast growth.

[0:04:16] Topics: market, AI, management, products.

[0:05:09] Market reaction since Liberation Day.

[0:07:26] CEO uncertainty and delayed investments.

[0:11:44] Complacency, speculative vs. cyclical sectors.

[0:12:22] AI as knowledge enhancer for investors.

[0:14:01] AI and sports analogies for change.

[0:18:46] AI impacting future investor skillsets.

[0:22:05] Management interviews and AI impact.

[0:25:24] Trusting vs. over-trusting management teams.

[0:31:44] Selling skills of management vs. investors

[0:34:09] Viral products and parsing endorsements.

[0:38:32] Disliking a product but buying stock.

[0:42:20] Balancing personal preferences with investing.

[0:44:00] Management and sunk costs in biotech.

[0:53:44] Overhead expenses distort trial economics.

[0:57:27] Wrap-up: biotech, books, and future episodes.

Links:

Yet Another Value Blog - https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com See our legal disclaimer here: https://www.yetanothervalueblog.com/p/legal-and-disclaimer