US-India Trade Tensions Escalate: August 1 Tariff Deadline Looms, Negotiations Intensify for Bilateral Agreement

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US-India Trade Tensions Escalate: August 1 Tariff Deadline Looms, Negotiations Intensify for Bilateral Agreement

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Listeners, welcome to “India Tariff News and Tracker.” Key developments are unfolding as the United States and India reach a pivotal moment in their ongoing trade negotiations. US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick announced that August 1 is a hard deadline for countries to start paying new tariffs to the United States, with no further extensions expected. Lutnick stated on CBS News that countries, including India, will begin paying the new rates starting August 1, although discussions can still continue beyond that date.

This deadline closely follows President Donald Trump’s continued push for what he calls “reciprocal tariffs,” a policy first announced on April 2. The tariffs, which include a 26% surcharge on Indian exports, as well as separate tariffs of 50% on steel and aluminium and 25% on autos, were initially delayed to allow the two nations more time for negotiations. As of now, that window is set to close on August 1, placing intense pressure on negotiators in both Washington and New Delhi. Indian officials are aggressively seeking the removal of the 26% tariff and relaxations on those additional Trump-era duties, while the US is seeking greater access for its industrial goods, electric vehicles, petrochemical products, agricultural products, and more.

Despite multiple rounds of high-level talks, a breakthrough remains elusive. Agriculture and dairy access are particularly contentious; India has long resisted duty concessions in these sectors, with powerful farmer groups warning against including genetically modified crops or wider agricultural access in any deal. On the US side, Commerce Secretary Lutnick reiterated that these tariffs are meant to secure fairer trade terms and protect American jobs, asserting that large economies must either open their markets or pay what he termed a “fair tariff.”

Indian exports targeted by the tariffs include textiles, leather goods, pharmaceuticals, and labor-intensive products. While an interim agreement may ease some sectors, trade experts from the Global Trade Research Initiative warn the proposed US deals often fall short of the World Trade Organization’s criteria for free trade agreements. In most cases, only the partner country—like India—lowers its tariffs, while the US only offers to roll back the most recent emergency tariffs, keeping most of its trade barriers in place.

If the two nations fail to reach even a temporary deal by August 1, Indian exporters face the possibility of a minimum 10% additional levy, even if the controversial 26% surcharge, which has been ruled unlawful by a US federal court but remains under appeal, is eventually withdrawn.

Negotiators are now working around the clock, with a US team set to visit New Delhi again in mid-August for further talks. Both sides still aim to secure a comprehensive bilateral trade agreement before the end of the year, potentially giving Indian exporters a crucial tariff advantage over regional rivals.

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