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The Housing Market Squeeze

The Housing Market Squeeze

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The housing market in 2025 presents a fascinating paradox—while inventory levels climb to a ten-year high in Washington County, the fundamental affordability crisis continues to reshape how Utah families approach homeownership and life planning.

Emily Merkley, CEO of the Washington County Board of Realtors, shares eye-opening statistics that reveal a market in transition. With absorption rates hovering around five months of inventory, Washington County has reached what economists consider a balanced market. Yet this equilibrium brings its own challenges. The median home price sits stubbornly at $515,000 while local wages lag $16,000 below the state average, creating what Merkley describes as "extreme conditions" for affordability.

Perhaps most revealing is what one tech worker confided during the discussion: "We realized we had a choice to make. We could either continue to grow our family or get into a home." This heartbreaking decision faced by many Utah families illustrates how the housing crisis transcends mere economics and shapes fundamental life choices. With the average mortgage payment in Washington County reaching $2,800 monthly at current interest rates, even well-paid professionals find themselves priced out of homeownership.

The conversation delves into the market freeze created by interest rates, with 80% of existing mortgages locked in below 5%. This creates a bottleneck effect where homeowners refuse to give up favorable rates, preventing the natural lifecycle of housing—from starter homes to family homes to retirement properties—from functioning properly. Meanwhile, days on market have climbed to 77 days in Washington County, giving buyers more leverage to negotiate than they've had in years.

Looking beyond numbers, Merkley and the host discuss how zoning restrictions and building requirements artificially inflate housing costs, celebrating builders like Jed Nielsen who've proven affordable homes can still be profitably built when regulatory barriers are reduced. The episode provides invaluable insights for both buyers and sellers navigating this transitional market, where patience and realistic pricing have become essential strategies.

Guest: EMILY MERKLEY Chief Executive Office for the Washington County Board of REALTORS®
Link: https://washingtoncountyrealtors.com/board-leadership/


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[00:00:00] Intro/Housing Market Overview in 2025.
[00:07:30] Utah's Housing Affordability Crisis.
[00:16:10] Washington County's Real Estate Stats.
[00:35:54] Analyzing Price Points and Market Pressure.
[00:43:29] The Value of Housing Diversity.
[00:53:40] The Changing Real Estate Industry.
[01:11:30] Real Estate Agent Statistics and Education.


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