Thats right the Steelers haven’t won in Philadelphia since 65. 73 % of the money on Pittsburgh consensus. These two have really got up and down the field in the past two matchups with the Eagles getting the 64 points in two matchups. The Steelers 51 in 22 and 20 but with Wilson is this team really ready to line up with a team that was so close to beating those Chiefs a few years ago? I almost never do this but I’m going to lay the number with the Eagles here. Pittsburgh also the heavy consensus money line for the outright upset.

It was just last October the Titans did something I call the worst 3 hours in sports. That is put me on the wrong end of a blowout loss. They rang the Bengals to a stunning 27-3 victory. That was Tannehill, that was Joe Burrow 20-30, 165 yards and no TD. That was week 4 last year and we see the Bengals favored in Nashville again. After a few low scoring Bengals wins in row in the series only about a 1 out of last 4 matchups 25% of the Bengals to cover. The total at 46 and really with the Bengals having 9 overs this year its hard to say this is going to be an UNDER, but this is cold weather football and while Will Levis may not league wide as a top 15 QB he has shown why the Titans drafted and then stuck with him during wins like the Houston game. I will probably just go with the Bengals again and put that with the UNDER. I expect the Titans to try to run the ball and play their game plan. The Under is my best pick here even though I know the Bengals are really good on offense and really bad on D. I think the Bengals find a way to win this one but if the Titans were to say sneak a halftime lead then know before you put your dollars there this Titans team is capable of the upset outright, and one can definitely make a mathematical based decision that Tennessee with the points is statistically the best pick.

The Chargers are my pick to win the game against Tampa, at -150 money line I either take it there or try my luck getting it even money on live bet. Either way think this is a low scoring one as well but consensus is squarely on the over and that is a number where it can go either way like 27-20 or 23-20 so there it goes. Just the Chargers for me.

The night game looks to have the action on the road team and the over, but I expect this to be another December night game and most likely an UNDER play for me. Consensus 62% on the over but I won’t let that deter me. The Seahawks defense is used to seeing SF with the motion, they are at least able to stay in those games and finally got over the hump. This is a different group in Green Bay and playoff style football might be in order tonight as Seattle is in position for Geno Smith to win the division and have a dream run.

Get Griff's best pick for the Saturday 11-22-24

Dallas vs. Atlanta, it’s the Cowboys who haven’t met their great expectations but remember two things here 1. Since the only games that mattered last year for DaK and the Cowboys were playoff games then really when they slide into a wild card then the only games that will matter for them is playoff games again. 2. Kirk Cousins is 2-9 for his career vs. Dallas. There used to be less room for error but with the expanded season now it’ll be when they are able to see what Zeke has left in the tank or whoever else can step up and tote the rock that this team then will be able to ease up the defense and control the clock but they at least have the pieces. Maybe they all need to put in their mouth guards and try to knock each other out then they will build some trust amongst the guys. Money line

The Chargers have the type of team where they feel like they are better than the record. Not even sure who is starting QB for the Browns anymore and that might be a good thing longterm. I know there is a risk of the game looking like it did in Pittsburgh but there was injury questions at QB heading into that game and they will have some learning experiences but I’d be surprised if this game is one of those. I’ll take LA.

This is one of those games where the Bengals are favored by way too much, especially with Higgins possibly out, but historically the Bengals have won 4 or 5 since 2015 against the Raiders, all four wins have been by a TD or more. The Raiders have the defensive mastermind who it will be up to him to figure out how to stop the Bengals because if they get rollin then its gonna be a long day. The Raiders have the patched up offensive line and Minshew but when he was in Indy last year it went 34-14 Bengals. The Eagles when they have Brown healthy are just capable of doing what they did last week, so it was tied before things went that way and you know that game isn’t being replayed today so you can lay the -7 or piddle around and hope for a live bet because they may cover or not but this is a game the Bengals are supposed to win.

Goff 5-2 vs. The Packers. Lions have won 3 of 4 vs. Green Bay the past two seasons. I’ll let that be that I’m taking the Lions here knowing that this is a tough division game while they may win it is against another playoff team from last year that looks poised to land in a wild card so you at least know your in for a game before you lay your money

The Head to Head record is so lopsided the Bills way in the matchup all I can say when the games go that way with one side dominating and receiving the type of gamblers who know that stat so they raise the line to a place where the Bills may win and the Bills Mafia gamblers get cut short by the number. I look to that pile of money and say this is division football in November give me under.

12 North Carolina +4

3 30 Pitt -157 ml

8 West Virginia +3

3 3o Virginia +7.5

12 Iowa -2.5

3 30 USC +3.5

7 30 Ohio State OVER 53 , OSU -3

7 30 Tennessee -14

12 Rutgers money line , OVER 43.5

10 15 Colorado +3.5

12 Army -26

12 Alabama-21

7 30 Mississippi/LSU OVER 62 OLE MISS Money line

7 45Kentucky -13.5

7 Florida Atlantic +5.5

What happens when you lost a bet you were ahead the entire 2nd half until a minute, then even had turnover and chance to win field goal was a missed hold? Take you loss and just know that is part of gambling, because the game is played however it is and we had it predicted perfectly with a Bengals win, but as life would have it so close just to Charlie Brown with Bungals as my late great father called them all my life every time Cincinnati lost a game like that.

Florida Gators +1

Louisville -6.5

Ole Miss -9

Alabama -22.5

Clemson -15

Navy -10

GT-8.5

Stanford +7.5

Army -13

Tenn -13.5

Baylor +11

Colorado State +11

USC -8

Ohio State -18

ECU/Charlotte OV 47

WF/NC STATE Under 57

BC/UVA Under52

Baylor/Iowa ST Under 44.5

IU/Northwestern Under 41.5

James Madison/UL Monroe Over 48.5

Nebraska/Rutgers Under 40

Houston/TCU Over 50.5

Miami Ohio +7

As Always Best of Luck and Enjoy Your Saturday

Two teams that are moving up as far as where their ceilings are for expectations for this year face off in an NFC South matchup. Tampa Bay fans can now legit start to ask what’s the difference between the Goat and Mayfield? Because with the guys they still have at receiver they are a threat if they can find that consistency because they have to be the favorite to win the South right now. For Atlanta with Cousins at QB, and the defense has played well its really about what pace are they playing, because you can have a high powered offense and still play a lot of unders, just like in the Chiefs, Eagles and Steelers games this year, but this matchup would’ve gone over the total of 43.5 the last 8 times these two have played in Atlanta, the lower scoring matches have been in Tampa. That being said pick #1 here is the over 43.5 . The side play is really a toss up and you’ve got to know that going in if you choose to put your money on it. As for me I’ll lean towards the home team and follow a few dollars with ATL on the money line -127, where your saying its only -1.5, and we haven’t really seen much of a close game getting clipped by a half a point but sometimes in the NFL thats your margin for error and you never know when the one point win on a Younghoe Koo kick could be reality.

301: NFL: Buccaneers over 43½

302: NFL: Falcons -122

NCAAF – If you like to just have action on every game or you’re just a college fan there are two games, but I really don’t know enough to make an informed opinion. Follow consensus if you want I’m not sure how much it means with these non-power conference teams
304: CFB: Troy+13½

306: CFB: UTEP +10-108

Friday Night NCAAF

Only one game I’ll weigh in on and it’s been a year where Oregon has been trying to make the Big Ten look not so tough. Michigan State getting 3 touchdowns and a field goal and I have seen them play a few times and they weren’t the greatest but they are turning the ball over at an alarming rate. IF they cut the turnovers down then they have a decent shot to cover. The Ducks and Dillion Gabriel have the talent to win the league and this one is predicted to be a beat down. I’ll take the points and see if it’s enough because keeping it close may be all the Spartans can really hope for unless they are able to cause take aways.

311: CFB: Michigan State +23½-108