Listeners, welcome to the Taiwan Tariff News and Tracker. Today is July 16, 2025, and we’re here with the latest on tariffs, the United States, the Trump administration, and what it all means for Taiwan.
Since President Donald Trump’s return to office, U.S. trade policy has seen a seismic shift. According to the Penn Wharton Budget Model, the average U.S. tariff rate has skyrocketed from 2.5% to an estimated 27% between January and April, which marks the highest tariff rate in over a century. Tariffs have become a primary source of federal revenue, accounting for 5% this year compared to just 2% historically. In practical terms, that means tariffs raised 108 billion dollars in net revenue over the past nine months. Notably, nearly half of the tariff burden is estimated to have fallen on U.S. consumers, with another 39% impacting American businesses and only 12% absorbed by foreign exporters, according to recent Goldman Sachs analysis.
Turning specifically to Taiwan, the story has been complex. On April 2, President Trump announced a “reciprocal tariff” of 32% on most Taiwanese goods, but crucially, he excluded semiconductor products—the island’s economic crown jewel. Trump criticized Taiwan’s dominance in the chip market and suggested Taiwan wasn’t spending enough on its own defense. In response, the Taiwanese government labeled these tariffs as unreasonable, but instead of retaliating, offered to ramp up U.S. imports and drop all tariffs on American goods in hopes of easing tensions.
This move sent shockwaves through Taiwan’s domestic politics, with opposition parties arguing that President Lai Ching-te’s reliance on U.S. support to counter China had come at too steep a price. Taiwan’s cabinet responded swiftly, convening a multi-party meeting in early April. Premier Cho Jung-tai presented a plan worth NT$88 billion to cushion local industries and stabilize the economy—a key effort as estimates from Taiwan’s National Development Council warn that a full implementation of the tariffs could lead to a 5 percent drop in manufacturing output.
Negotiations remain ongoing. This week, Taiwan’s Deputy Trade Representative Yen Huai-shing confirmed that while the U.S. has sent tariff rate notification letters to at least two dozen countries, Taiwan hasn’t received one yet, possibly indicating progress behind closed doors. There have now been three rounds of in-person talks, with more online meetings underway, and both governments say they’re aiming to reach a consensus before the new tariffs take effect worldwide on August 1. According to Yen, international precedent dictates that agreement details aren’t disclosed until a draft is signed—so developments could happen quickly in the coming days.
Earlier in July, the American Chamber of Commerce in Taiwan urged Washington to drop import taxes on Taiwanese goods and resume broader trade talks. While the uncertainty is creating anxiety in business and political circles, negotiators remain committed, and Taiwan’s leaders declare their absolute intent to safeguard the island’s economic and security interests.
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