『2025 5-28 Matters of Democracy - Immigration, DeSantis, Tariffs and Courts, Deficits』のカバーアート

2025 5-28 Matters of Democracy - Immigration, DeSantis, Tariffs and Courts, Deficits

2025 5-28 Matters of Democracy - Immigration, DeSantis, Tariffs and Courts, Deficits

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Immigration Policy and Allegations of Fascism: The Trump administration is pursuing increasingly severe and controversial immigration policies.

Once considered a rising star and potential heir to the "MAGA throne," Governor Ron DeSantis is now seen as politically declining.

A significant ruling from the U.S. Court of International Trade (USCIT) struck down "virtually all of the tariffs that Donald Trump had announced since becoming president for a second time." The ruling could also hinder Republican efforts to use tariff revenue to offset the cost of a roughly "$4 trillion tax cut."

Existing tariffs that would remain include: "25% duty on most auto imports," "25% duty on most auto parts imports," and "25% duty on all steel, aluminum, and aluminum articles. "White House claims that tariffs would generate "hundreds of billions of dollars a year" are contested by the court ruling.

Multiple independent analyses contradict White House and Republican claims about the fiscal impact of the recently passed House reconciliation bill.

Despite claims of "more than $1.5 trillion in savings," these analyses indicate the bill will "add trillions of dollars to the federal deficit over 10 years." The nonpartisan Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget (CRFB) estimates the bill will add "$3.1 trillion with interest" to the deficit over 10 years.

The Penn Wharton Budget Model (PWBM) estimates the bill increases primary deficits by "$2.8 trillion over 10 years." PWBM's dynamic scoring, which accounts for economic effects, estimates an even higher cost of "$3.2 trillion" over 10 years, contradicting Republican suggestions that dynamic scoring would reduce the reported cost. PWBM's analysis indicates that "lower-income households and some in the middle class are worse off" under dynamic scoring due to cuts in safety net programs and higher federal debt.

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