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📆 ThursdAI - Dec 26 - OpenAI o3 & o3 mini, DeepSeek v3 658B beating Claude, Qwen Visual Reasoning, Hume OCTAVE & more AI news
- 2024/12/27
- 再生時間: 1 時間 36 分
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あらすじ・解説
Hey everyone, Alex here 👋I was hoping for a quiet holiday week, but whoa, while the last newsletter was only a week ago, what a looong week it has been, just Friday after the last newsletter, it felt like OpenAI has changed the world of AI once again with o3 and left everyone asking "was this AGI?" over the X-mas break (Hope Santa brought you some great gifts!) and then not to be outdone, DeepSeek open sourced basically a Claude 2.5 level behemoth DeepSeek v3 just this morning!Since the breaking news from DeepSeek took us by surprise, the show went a bit longer (3 hours today!) than expected, so as a Bonus, I'm going to release a separate episode with a yearly recap + our predictions from last year and for next year in a few days (soon in your inbox!) TL;DR* Open Source LLMs* CogAgent-9B (Project, Github)* Qwen QvQ 72B - open weights visual reasoning (X, HF, Demo, Project)* GoodFire Ember - MechInterp API - GoldenGate LLama 70B* 🔥 DeepSeek v3 658B MoE - Open Source Claude level model at $6M (X, Paper, HF, Chat)* Big CO LLMs + APIs* 🔥 OpenAI reveals o3 and o3 mini (Blog, X)* X.ai raises ANOTHER 6B dollars - on their way to 200K H200s (X)* This weeks Buzz* Two W&B workshops upcoming in January* SF - January 11* Seattle - January 13 (workshop by yours truly!)* New Evals course with Paige Bailey and Graham Neubig - pre-sign up for free* Vision & Video* Kling 1.6 update (Tweet)* Voice & Audio* Hume OCTAVE - 3B speech-language model (X, Blog)* Tools* OpenRouter added Web Search Grounding to 300+ models (X)Open Source LLMsDeepSeek v3 658B - frontier level open weights model for ~$6M (X, Paper, HF, Chat )This was absolutely the top of the open source / open weights news for the past week, and honestly maybe for the past month. DeepSeek, the previous quant firm from China, has dropped a behemoth model, a 658B parameter MoE (37B active), that you'd need 8xH200 to even run, that beats Llama 405, GPT-4o on most benchmarks and even Claude Sonnet 3.5 on several evals! The vibes seem to be very good with this one, and while it's not all the way beating Claude yet, it's nearly up there already, but the kicker is, they trained it with a very restricted compute, per the paper, with ~2K h800 (which is like H100 but with less bandwidth) for 14.8T tokens. (that's 15x cheaper than LLama 405 for comparison) For evaluations, this model excels on Coding and Math, which is not surprising given how excellent DeepSeek coder has been, but still, very very impressive! On the architecture front, the very interesting thing is, this feels like Mixture of Experts v2, with a LOT of experts (256) and 8+1 active at the same time, multi token prediction, and a lot optimization tricks outlined in the impressive paper (here's a great recap of the technical details)The highlight for me was, that DeepSeek is distilling their recent R1 version into this version, which likely increases the performance of this model on Math and Code in which it absolutely crushes (51.6 on CodeForces and 90.2 on MATH-500) The additional aspect of this is the API costs, and while they are going to raise the prices come February (they literally just swapped v2.5 for v3 in their APIs without telling a soul lol), the price performance for this model is just absurd. Just a massive massive release from the WhaleBros, now I just need a quick 8xH200 to run this and I'm good 😅 Other OpenSource news - Qwen QvQ, CogAgent-9B and GoldenGate LLamaIn other open source news this week, our friends from Qwen have released a very interesting preview, called Qwen QvQ, a visual reasoning model. It uses the same reasoning techniques that we got from them in QwQ 32B, but built with the excellent Qwen VL, to reason about images, and frankly, it's really fun to see it think about an image. You can try it hereand a new update to CogAgent-9B (page), an agent that claims to understand and control your computer, claims to beat Claude 3.5 Sonnet Computer Use with just a 9B model! This is very impressive though I haven't tried it just yet, I'm excited to see those very impressive numbers from open source VLMs driving your computer and doing tasks for you!A super quick word from ... Weights & Biases! We've just opened up pre-registration for our upcoming FREE evaluations course, featuring Paige Bailey from Google and Graham Neubig from All Hands AI. We've distilled a lot of what we learned about evaluating LLM applications while building Weave, our LLM Observability and Evaluation tooling, and are excited to share this with you all! Get on the listAlso, 2 workshops (also about Evals) from us are upcoming, one in SF on Jan 11th and one in Seattle on Jan 13th (which I'm going to lead!) so if you're in those cities at those times, would love to see you!Big Companies - APIs & LLMsOpenAI - introduces o3 and o3-mini - breaking Arc-AGI challenge, GQPA and teasing AGI? On the last day of the 12 days of OpenAI, we've got the evals of their upcoming o3 reasoning model (and o3-mini) and whoah. ...